Estimating COVID-19-Related Excess Mortality Excluding Seasonal Phenomena in Belgium

نویسندگان

چکیده

Excess mortality, rather than reported COVID-19 deaths has been suggested to evaluate the impact of SARS-CoV-2 induced Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic on mortality. However, relationship between excess mortality and is perturbed by seasonal phenomena, such as extreme temperatures influenza. Models used estimate often ignore these underlying patterns. We propose a dynamic linear state-space model all-cause which accounts for above 25°C influenza via Goldstein index. The prediction that not explained heat waves coincides with in year 2020 Belgium.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Medical research archives

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2375-1916', '2375-1924']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.18103/mra.v10i9.3077